Climate Scientists Publish Revised Global Emissions Scenarios
A group of climate scientists led by Detlef van Vuuren has described a new set of global emissions scenarios in a paper published by Geoscientific Model Development, according to the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. The scenarios are intended to support climate research in the coming years and future reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

A group of climate scientists led by Detlef van Vuuren has described a new set of global emissions scenarios in a paper published in Geoscientific Model Development, according to the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, known as PBL.
The scenarios are described as a new set of global emissions scenarios. PBL said they will form the basis for much climate research in the coming years.
PBL also said the scenarios will provide a basis for future reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The supplied information does not specify the revisions made to the highest-emissions scenario or provide details of the scenarios’ assumptions, emissions pathways, or projected climate effects.
THE QUESTIONS THIS EVENT LEAVES BEHIND
What assumptions distinguish the revised highest-emissions scenario from earlier scenarios?
How will researchers decide which scenarios are most appropriate for different studies?
What factors could cause future emissions to diverge from the scenarios?
Who will review or update the scenarios as new evidence becomes available?
How might reliance on these scenarios influence future climate policy debates?
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GLOBAL CURIOSITY MAP · SEPTEMBER 2026
